Soon

Live in the future, trade in the present

Lightcone is an impact markets platform,— a new way to trade the financial impact of world events,— before these events actually happen.

In practice, Lightcone unlocks:

  • 01a novel form of speculation: trade assets in hypothetical multiverses that may or may not materialize
  • 02a new set of mass-consumable public information, exposing the expected impact of events

01 — Mechanism

We call it impact markets

Prediction markets let you speculate on whether events will occur. Lightcone, very distinctly, lets you trade the financial impact of those same events.

will it happen?
if it happens, what are the consequences?

Trade real assets as if a future event outcome is guaranteed.

02 — Public Information

The Information

What happens to Bitcoin if China invades Taiwan?

  • BTC if China invades Taiwan
  • BTC if China doesn't invade Taiwan

What happens to NVIDIA if AI capex hits $1T?

  • NVDA if AI capex exceeds
  • NVDA if AI capex hits below

The closest we can get to Truth, is to let the market reveal the answers to those questions. "Experts" and commentators be damned.

Lightcone is a crystal ball for event impact; priced in the actual assets that matter, by the cumulative trading activity of participants around the world.

A New Primitive

A novel form of trading, revealing a novel set of market-derived information for everyone to freely consume

Lightcone informs:

  • POLITICIANS on the impact of war
  • LAWMAKERS on the impact of their legislation
  • CENTRAL BANKS on the impact of their policy
  • BOARDS & EXECS on the impact of corporate decisions
  • VOTERS on the impact of elections
  • TRADERS on "is it priced in?" or "what's the next catalyst?"