Live in the future, trade in the present.

Lightcone is an Impact Markets platform; a new way to trade the financial impact of world events, before these events actually happen.

Look into, and trade inside, infinite hypothetical universes.

We call it impact markets

Unlike prediction markets that let you bet on whether events will occur, Lightcone lets you trade assets assuming an outcome is guaranteed. Trade consequences, not odds.

The Information

What happens to BTC if China invades Taiwan? To NVDA if AI capex hits $1T? Let the market expose answers to these questions. This is the closest we can get to truth; "Experts" and commentators be damned. Lightcone is a crystal ball for price impact.

The Trading

Split your assets into parallel universes, each representing a different outcome. Trade freely in any universe. If it doesn't materialize, your full capital is returned.

A novel form of speculation, and a novel set of market-derived public information.

Lightcone will:

  • inform politicians on the impact of war
  • inform lawmakers on the impact of their legislation
  • inform central banks on the impact of their policy
  • inform boards & execs on the impact of corporate decisions
  • inform voters on the impact of elections
  • inform traders on "is it priced in?" or "what's the next catalyst?"